Chipper’s daily positions, prices, pitching notes, and complete graded record.
Chipper publishes MLB moneyline predictions built from starting pitching, lineup, bullpen, park, and market-price context. Every published result stays in the ledger, including losses. Browse the latest free prediction articles, verify every result in the public record, or read how the models and grading work.
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These are graded model outputs; historical replay/simulation rows are not described as preposted wagers. Losing results are never removed. Chipper has 1130 graded picks on the record.
Won. Boston Red Sox won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Baltimore's documented A-game is left-handed-pitching power at Camden (62 homers vs LHP), and Tolle has allowed a homer in each of his last two starts while averaging under six innings, so two swings plus an early hook flips this.
Lost. Cleveland Guardians won.
Won. St. Louis Cardinals won.
Won. Arizona Diamondbacks won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Arizona hits RHP at just .681 OPS, so Lambert's 8.89 K/9 stuff can hold them to two or three runs and let Houston's 186-homer offense plus Hader finish it.
Won. Kansas City Royals won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Toronto's documented A-game is exactly bullpen suppression — a 3.90 staff ERA with 93 holds and only 15 blown saves can erase a 3-inning Arrighetti outing and win 4-2.
Lost. Miami Marlins won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Phillips repeats the Kansas City start (5 IP, 1 hit) and Miami's high-hold pen bridges a 2-1 game, which is exactly this team's documented winning shape.
Lost. Pittsburgh Pirates won.
Lost. Seattle Mariners won.
Won. Boston Red Sox won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Baltimore's documented A-game is power — 172 HR at home in a park that rewards pull-side lift, and Gray has given up 15 HR including a two-homer night to San Francisco, so two swings can flip this against Boston's merely average .716 OPS vs RHP.
Lost. Cincinnati Reds won.
Documented risk, written before the result: May gets knocked out in the third again and Cincinnati's 188-homer offense turns a hot 92-degree GABP night into a slugfest their pen only has to protect for four innings.
Won. Toronto Blue Jays won.
Won. Chicago Cubs won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Gusto has allowed one earned run over his last three starts and Miami's deep, high-hold pen shortens the game behind him in a park where the Cubs' power plays down.
Won. San Francisco Giants won.
Lost. Philadelphia Phillies won.
Won. New York Yankees won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Rodón has not cleared 5 innings in any recent start (66-96 pitches, 4.73 BB/9), so a 4-inning outing hands San Diego five innings against a bullpen that has blown 27 saves — exactly the low-scoring Petco game their Morejon/Matsui/Miller back end is built to close.
Won. Athletics won.
Won. Tampa Bay Rays won.
Documented risk, written before the result: deGrom's A-game is exactly the 7 IP, one-hit, no-walk start he threw on 8/31, and in a park with a 0.853 run factor and the roof likely shut in 98-degree heat, that alone wins the game.
Won. Milwaukee Brewers won.
Documented risk, written before the result: The Reds' A-game is exactly the shape that beats this pick — 186 homers and a .735 OPS vs LHP against a lefty who has given up 3 HR in his last four starts, in a hot-air homer park.
Won. St. Louis Cardinals won.
Lost. Houston Astros won.
Lost. Los Angeles Dodgers won.
Lost. Chicago Cubs won.
Lost. New York Mets won.
Won. Atlanta Braves won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Sánchez is 11-1 with a 1.68 ERA in home starts, so the cleanest loss path is exactly his A-game — six or seven scoreless at Citizens Bank Park handed to a rested bullpen in a 2-1 game.
Lost. Pittsburgh Pirates won.
Lost. San Diego Padres won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Buehler's A-game is exactly the three 6-IP, one-run outings in his log, and Petco plus San Diego's 18-blown-save pen is the environment where that turns into a 2-1 home win.
Won. Athletics won.
Lost. Chicago Cubs won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Chicago's 197-homer offense catching Henderson's 1.30 HR/9 for two or three swings — that is exactly how this Cubs team wins, and it needs no rally to happen.
Lost. Toronto Blue Jays won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Bibee's 1.44 HR/9 in a 1.05 run park on an 89-degree afternoon is exactly Toronto's documented path — they hit RHP better (.704 OPS, 100 HR) than Cleveland does, and two swings off Bibee flips it.
Lost. Kansas City Royals won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Wacha repeats his documented A-game — the 8 IP, 0 R, 10 K line at Cleveland — and hands a rested Kimbrel a lead, which is exactly how Kansas City wins this.
Lost. Los Angeles Dodgers won.
Lost. Pittsburgh Pirates won.
Won. Athletics won.
Won. Arizona Diamondbacks won.
Lost. Seattle Mariners won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Sandoval walks 4.40 per 9 and if he issues four free passes in five innings, Boston hands a genuinely tired pen a tie game and Muñoz slams the door on the back half.
Won. Cincinnati Reds won.
Won. Miami Marlins won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Cameron repeats the Angels one-hitter shape against a Marlins lineup that hits .233/.316/.371 vs left-handed pitching, and KC's fly-ball offense gets one out to CF in the heat.
Won. St. Louis Cardinals won.
Lost. Atlanta Braves won.
Lost. Philadelphia Phillies won.
Lost. Seattle Mariners won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Woo does exactly what he did on 8/5 and 8/11 — six-plus scoreless, no walks — and Seattle hands a two-run lead to Muñoz, who threw only 15 pitches yesterday.
Lost. Cincinnati Reds won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Vásquez strikes out 5.56 per nine and lives on contact, so the Reds' 183-homer offense in Great American Ball Park can flip this with two swings before the Padres pen ever warms.
Lost. Cleveland Guardians won.
Lost. Miami Marlins won.
Won. St. Louis Cardinals won.
Lost. Minnesota Twins won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Melton only strikes out 7.42 per nine and lives on contact, so the Twins' home lineup squaring him up in a park that plays 1.025 and handing it to a pen with just 16 blown saves in 54 chances is a clean, ordinary path to Minnesota winning.
Lost. Pittsburgh Pirates won.
Lost. Texas Rangers won.
Won. Washington Nationals won.
Lost. Philadelphia Phillies won.
Won. San Francisco Giants won.
Won. Boston Red Sox won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Kirby repeats his 8/25 line (7.2 IP, 1 ER, 9 K) while Seattle's 157-homer offense gets one swing off Tolle, whose HR/9 is 1.01 and who has allowed a homer in two of his last four.
Won. Chicago Cubs won.
Won. Baltimore Orioles won.
Lost. Houston Astros won.
Lost. Los Angeles Angels won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Ureña's A-game is exactly the 6-inning, two-hit start he threw on 8/13 — if he holds the Yankees down while Rodríguez's walk rate hands the Angels a cheap early lead, New York never gets to the bullpen edge.
Lost. Minnesota Twins won.
Won. New York Mets won.
Lost. Texas Rangers won.
Won. Washington Nationals won.
Won. Baltimore Orioles won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Bassitt's hittability (.301 opponent average) shows up early in a hot park and the A's short-outing pen — Medina, Roycroft, Alvarado at one inning each — covers the middle innings cleanly.
Lost. Cincinnati Reds won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Burns pitches to his ceiling — the 7 IP, 0 R, 8 K version — and Cincinnati's late arms only need to protect a small lead.
Won. Los Angeles Dodgers won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Glasnow is on a short leash at 8 starts back — a 4-inning, 90-pitch outing hands the middle innings to Detroit's home lineup, and Holton/Jansen closing a lead is exactly Detroit's documented A-game.
Lost. Texas Rangers won.
Documented risk, written before the result: May's bruised throwing-side scapula turns this into a two-inning start, and Texas's 152-homer offense gets at a middle-relief group in a game the Brewers pen has to cover from the third inning on.
Lost. Minnesota Twins won.
Won. New York Yankees won.
Lost. Tampa Bay Rays won.
Won. Toronto Blue Jays won.
Won. Baltimore Orioles won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Perkins misses bats at a 10.36 K/9 clip and Baltimore hits .236 as a team, so a Perkins strikeout night plus Oakland's power in a hot park flips this cleanly.
Lost. Atlanta Braves won.
Lost. Chicago Cubs won.
Won. Kansas City Royals won.
Won. Detroit Tigers won.
Lost. Philadelphia Phillies won.
Won. Milwaukee Brewers won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Quantrill repeats the 6-7 inning, zero-walk, weak-contact start he just gave Washington and Anaheim, keeps the Brewers' walk-and-run offense off the bases, and Texas's lefty-friendly bats get to Drohan's third-time-through inning.
Won. Chicago White Sox won.
Lost. New York Mets won.
Lost. Pittsburgh Pirates won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Pittsburgh's bullpen is genuinely fresh — six relievers combined for 91 pitches over three days — so a full-strength relay behind Bachar plus their better bats vs. right-handers is a very plausible path to a 4-2 Pirates win.
Won. Toronto Blue Jays won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Toronto hits .224/.294/.348 vs LHP — Anderson's exact A-game path is a clean 6-inning, low-run start against a lineup that cannot touch left-handed pitching.
Won. Washington Nationals won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Alcantara's A-game is a 7-inning, one-run outing, and Washington has blown 33 of 66 save chances — Miami's rested, deeper pen closing a 3-2 lead is the clean path here.
Won. Baltimore Orioles won.
Won. Atlanta Braves won.
Won. Cincinnati Reds won.
Lost. Los Angeles Dodgers won.
Lost. Philadelphia Phillies won.
Won. Chicago White Sox won.
Won. St. Louis Cardinals won.
Lost. Tampa Bay Rays won.
Won. Toronto Blue Jays won.
Lost. Atlanta Braves won.
Lost. Milwaukee Brewers won.
Lost. Houston Astros won.
Documented risk, written before the result: New York's documented A-game failure mode is the bullpen — 26 blown saves in 65 chances — so a 2-1 Cole handoff turning into a Hader-vs-Yankee-pen swing game is the clean Houston path.
Won. St. Louis Cardinals won.
Lost. Kansas City Royals won.
Won. Arizona Diamondbacks won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Chicago hits LHP at .809 OPS with 177 team homers — one three-run inning off E-Rod and the Cubs' better overall offense wins this straight up.
Won. Athletics won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Ginn exits after five with a one-run lead and the gassed A's pen hands it back to a fresh, rested Twins bullpen game — Minnesota's documented A-game in this series.
Won. Atlanta Braves won.
Won. Chicago White Sox won.
Lost. Tampa Bay Rays won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Melton's peripherals (7.6 K/9, 2.71 K/BB) say the 1.70 ERA is fragile, and the Rays' .754 OPS vs RHP plus a 52-save, 3.81-ERA pen is a clean path to a 4-2 Tampa win.
Lost. Miami Marlins won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Gusto's A-game is exactly what he showed on 8/21 — four scoreless, low-pitch innings — which hands a fresh-enough back end a lead, and Gray coughed up 2 HR to San Francisco five days ago.
Lost. Milwaukee Brewers won.
Won. New York Yankees won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Lambert repeats his 8/2 or 8/14 form (5+ IP, two runs) and Abreu/Hader shorten it to six innings — exactly Houston's documented A-game against a Yankees offense hitting only .227 vs RHP.
Lost. Cincinnati Reds won.
Lost. Baltimore Orioles won.
Lost. Toronto Blue Jays won.
Lost. Colorado Rockies won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Waldron's knuckleball gets squared up early — Colorado already tagged him for 6 runs in 5 IP in April — and the Rockies' 147-homer bat gets to a stale arm before Washington's pen ever matters.
Lost. Arizona Diamondbacks won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Pfaadt repeats his 8/8 or 8/14 form — 7 shutout innings, zero walks — which is exactly his documented A-game and would strand the Cubs' pen edge entirely.
Won. Atlanta Braves won.
Won. Chicago White Sox won.
Won. Detroit Tigers won.
Lost. Cleveland Guardians won.
Won. New York Mets won.
Lost. Pittsburgh Pirates won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Skenes goes seven and shuts down a .238-hitting Padres lineup, which is exactly Pittsburgh's documented A-game.
Lost. Baltimore Orioles won.
Documented risk, written before the result: St. Louis hits RHP worst of the two splits (.692 OPS, .378 SLG) and this park suppresses runs, so Bassitt's documented A-game — the 6 IP, 1 ER outing he showed in May — turns this into exactly the low-scoring game Baltimore's 159 homers can steal with one swing.
Lost. Colorado Rockies won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Alvarez averages only about 5.1 innings on 75 pitches, handing the game to a Washington pen that has blown 33 of 66 save chances — Colorado's cleanest win path is a middle-innings comeback, not beating Alvarez.
Lost. Chicago Cubs won.
Lost. Minnesota Twins won.
Lost. Texas Rangers won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Chicago's pen is genuinely gassed — Fedde 56 pitches, Schweitzer 51, Taylor 44 over three days — so if today is an opener/bullpen game the Sox hand Texas a middle-innings soft spot and 26 blown saves says they give leads back.
Lost. Tampa Bay Rays won.
Lost. Cleveland Guardians won.
Lost. Boston Red Sox won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Suárez grinds five, Boston's rested and deeper pen (3.51 team ERA, three arms used total in three days) covers four clean innings, and Miami's gassed back end coughs it up late — they already own 17 blown saves.
Lost. Pittsburgh Pirates won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Ashcraft is the sharper pitcher right now — 9 IP/1 ER and 8 IP/1 ER in his last three — and a .239-hitting Padres lineup in Petco can get shut out while Pittsburgh scratches out two.
Won. San Francisco Giants won.
Won. Washington Nationals won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Feltner's A-game is the exact profile he showed on 8/12 (5 IP, 2 R, no homers), and Washington's offense is a soft .242/.317 vs RHP with a .274 BABIP, so a low-scoring game a mediocre Rockies pen can hold is the live path.
Won. Tampa Bay Rays won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Baltimore's A-game is exactly what beats Martinez — 158 homers and a .397 SLG hunting a low-strikeout arm who allowed 4 HR in one start on July 31.
Won. Chicago White Sox won.
Lost. Cleveland Guardians won.
Won. Athletics won.
Lost. Kansas City Royals won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Detroit hits lefties badly (.689 OPS, .372 SLG vs LHP), so Lynch turning the lineup over twice cleanly and handing a lead to Kimbrel is exactly Kansas City's documented A-game.
Lost. Los Angeles Dodgers won.
Lost. Miami Marlins won.
Lost. Atlanta Braves won.
Won. New York Yankees won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Rodón's 5.01 BB/9 turns into a 4-inning, 90-pitch mess and Toronto's deep pen (44 saves, 85 holds) grinds out a low-scoring win.
Won. San Diego Padres won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Minnesota's documented A-game is power against right-handed pitching, and Buehler's 3.66 BB/9 is the cleanest route to a three-run inning that Petco cannot erase.
Won. Chicago Cubs won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Miller's documented A-game is exactly this park — 1.51 HR/9 gets neutralized, Seattle's pen is deep in high-leverage arms (69 holds), and one Cal-Raleigh-type swing off Imanaga's HR-prone fastball wins a 2-1 game.
Lost. Texas Rangers won.
Won. Baltimore Orioles won.
Lost. Boston Red Sox won.
Lost. New York Mets won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Scott's documented A-game is exactly this — punch out 7 over 6 innings while Castillo's two-homer version shows up again, and Chicago's pen (25 blown saves in 58 chances) cannot hold a one-run deficit.
Won. Cleveland Guardians won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Bibee's 1.50 HR/9 is the exact profile altitude eats, and Colorado's .757 OPS vs RHP with the wind blowing out to center at 90 degrees can turn six innings into five runs against a .684-OPS Cleveland offense that cannot chase.
Won. Athletics won.
Lost. Los Angeles Dodgers won.
Won. Milwaukee Brewers won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Henderson's one flaw is HR/9 1.42 (10 homers in 63.1 IP, 2 allowed in each of two recent starts), and Atlanta's 167 homers are their documented A-game — two swings plus Milwaukee's own vs-LHP slump is a clean, low-scoring path to a Braves win.
Lost. Toronto Blue Jays won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Cease repeats his 8/16 line against these same Yankees (6.1 IP, 2 H, 10 K) and Toronto only needs two runs off Weathers to win it outright.
Lost. Philadelphia Phillies won.
Won. San Diego Padres won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Kremer repeats his 8/10 line (7 IP, 1 H, 7 K) and Minnesota's better bat vs RHP touches up a contact-first, 5.87 K/9 Mize before the Padres pen ever gets the ball.
Won. Los Angeles Angels won.
Won. Arizona Diamondbacks won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Cincinnati's real A-game is power — 165 homers, one every 25.7 at-bats, and a better line vs LHP than RHP — against a low-strikeout contact lefty (6.39 K/9) in a 1.04 run park, exactly the shape of Rodriguez's 11-hit clunker vs San Diego.
Won. Baltimore Orioles won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Tampa's documented A-game is run prevention — an elite high-leverage group at 96 holds against 14 blown saves erases Peralta's short outing, and a contact offense that strikes out only 899 times pecks at Rogers on a five-day second look.
Won. Chicago White Sox won.
Documented risk, written before the result: Manaea repeats his Pittsburgh game (7 IP, 3 H, 11 K) and hands a rested Mets pen a lead that Chicago's overworked, blown-save-prone relief corps has to chase.
Boston's a slight favorite at Camden Yards, but Baltimore's power and a modest strikeout rate turned this into a pass, not a play.
Texas has the power matchup and the home arm working, yet the card marks this one a pass, not a play.
A dominant Wacha start and a rested Kimbrel make a clean case for Kansas City, yet the number wasn't good enough to turn the read into a play.
A plus-240 dog with a real path to a Skubal bullpen game still doesn't clear Chipper's bar for an official play.
Chicago's power lineup has the exact profile that torches Milwaukee's starter, and that's enough to keep Chipper off the price.
Perkins strikes hitters out at a huge clip against the majors' worst-hitting lineup, yet Chipper still passes on the price.
Chipper likes Reid Detmers to repeat his August gem, but the Angels moneyline still misses the cut as an official play.
Martin's rehab tune-up and Chicago's fresher bullpen make a real case, but the price alone keeps this one off the board.
