Every pick, in publishing order. Prices are locked when posted and results are graded without edits.
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Keys has the return game built to attack Zheng's second serve, but her own draw hasn't been clean either, and T Money is siding with Zheng at plus-170.
T Money backs the plus-money Vacherot over Tiafoe, betting a hot serve and a lighter schedule beat the bigger name in New York.
The numbers favor Svitolina over Kalinskaya, but a one-day turnaround and a healed ankle keep this off the bet card.
Taylor Townsend's serve numbers dwarf Shnaider's through two rounds, and T Money thinks the plus-money price hasn't caught up yet.
The fundamentals point to Shelton, yet Shapovalov's lefty serve and a recent five-set scare keep this off the bet card at the price on offer.
T Money likes Aryna Sabalenka over Kamilla Rakhimova at the US Open, but the price closes the door before the pick can open it.
T Money's numbers favor Bublik's fresher legs and cleaner serve over Paul, but a plus-money price keeps this one off the card.
T Money's numbers favor Sorana Cirstea over Jasmine Paolini in their US Open round of 32, but -182 is too rich to bet.
A surgery layoff, a two match sample, and a moneyline so short the edge never gets a chance to pay.
Michelsen is the pick on paper, but his serve is breaking down in exactly the way Merida already exploited once at Montreal.
Osaka's form and workload edge point one way at the US Open, yet at minus 323 the number no longer clears the bar to bet.
The numbers favor Daniil Medvedev at the US Open, yet a moneyline of minus 345 puts this one out of reach on value alone.
The fundamentals point to Linda Noskova over Ann Li, yet the market has already priced her too heavy to bet.
Lehecka's cleaner form and deeper twelve-month run make him the right side on paper, yet the price closes the door on a bet.
Jessica Pegula's longer-window hard-court form and matchup numbers favor her against Leylah Fernandez, yet a lopsided moneyline keeps this off the bet card.
The numbers favor Etcheverry's hard-court résumé, but his history of blowing tight matches keeps this one off the card.
Iga Swiatek is the right side against Marie Bouzkova on the numbers, yet the price alone keeps this off the official card.
T Money likes Amanda Anisimova on the numbers, but the market has already priced Anastasia Potapova off the board.
Kostyuk's hard-court numbers beat Alexandrova's straight up, but the market already knows it, and the price leaves T Money with no play.
A taped right wrist, a five setter he hasn't finished since January, and a market number too heavy to touch at any conviction.
A marathon five-hour escape and an 8% return rate against big servers keep the number close, even before the market prices it near unbeatable.
The read favors Qinwen Zheng over Yulia Putintseva, yet a shaky first serve and a brutal price keep this one off the card.
T Money likes Alex De Minaur over Botic Van De Zandschulp on paper, but a minus 500 number closes the door before it opens.
The serve numbers point one direction and the second-serve numbers point the other, and neither settles the argument at minus 400.
Mertens looks like the right side on serve and hold, but a moneyline near -300 is too heavy for T Money to call it a bet.
Tien's return game is the best matchup answer to Monfils' serve heater, but the price closes the door on an actual bet.
T Money's numbers favor Tabilo's hard-court form, but a first-strike serve risk keeps the pick off the card.
Iga Swiatek should beat Nadia Podoroska at the US Open, but a price this heavy turns a good pick into a bad bet.
T Money likes Dalibor Svrcina's numbers against Luciano Darderi, but nine sets in eight days keeps the pick off the card.
A hard-court hold rate favors the lucky loser over Svajda's sharp US Open opener, but a shaky second serve keeps this one off the card.
Sakkari's the better player, but Starodubtseva's return numbers say -161 isn't a number T Money will bet.
Naomi Osaka gets the fundamentals nod over Katerina Siniakova, but a moneyline near minus 333 pushes this one to a pass.
Cobolli owns the deeper hard court résumé, but a four hour opener and a brutal price keep this off the card.
The form and the serve-return math both favor Himeno Sakatsume over Cristina Bucsa, yet one break-point pattern keeps this off the bet card.
The ankle scare is old news and the form gap is real, but at minus 588 there is no bet left to make.
Rodionov's career-best form and Menšík's shaky 2026 health make this closer than the number suggests, but the price still shuts the door.
Boston's a slight favorite at Camden Yards, but Baltimore's power and a modest strikeout rate turned this into a pass, not a play.
Texas has the power matchup and the home arm working, yet the card marks this one a pass, not a play.
Her serve is trending the right way off a back injury, but at this price the US Open pick from T Money is a pass, not a bet.
The model has Lorenzo Musetti clearly the better player over Dane Sweeny, and that is exactly why there is no bet here today.
A dominant Wacha start and a rested Kimbrel make a clean case for Kansas City, yet the number wasn't good enough to turn the read into a play.
Nikola Bartunkova's serve and return numbers point past Tatjana Maria's hot opener, but a moneyline of minus 238 is too rich to bet.
Felix Auger-Aliassime's 12-month hard-court numbers dwarf Karen Khachanov's, but a -250 price closes the door on an official play.
Madison Keys is the stronger side against Anna Bondar at the US Open, but the price is too heavy for the number T Money actually has.
The numbers back Iva Jovic over Francesca Jones, but at minus 667 there is no bet worth making.
The model's fundamentals favor Bergs over De Jong, but the market already knows it, and the price is off the board.
Coco Gauff's serve numbers dwarf Paula Badosa's post-procedure return, but a -1000 price leaves no number worth playing.
Taylor Fritz should beat Mattia Bellucci at the US Open, but a moneyline this heavy leaves nothing worth staking.
Alexandra Eala's serve numbers back her at the US Open, but a break-heavy opponent and a buried price keep this off the bet card.
Cerundolo's return game and schedule-adjusted form beat Struff on paper, but a -189 price keeps this US Open lean off the card.
A plus-240 dog with a real path to a Skubal bullpen game still doesn't clear Chipper's bar for an official play.
Buse just beat Bonzi six days ago on the same hard courts, but a brutal five-set marathon has T Money passing anyway.
Zheng's clean run through Marozsan carries more weight than Bu's hot week, but there's no bet to make here.
Chicago's power lineup has the exact profile that torches Milwaukee's starter, and that's enough to keep Chipper off the price.
Marie Bouzkova's form edge over Harriet Dart is real, but a moneyline north of -350 keeps this one off the staked card.
Perkins strikes hitters out at a huge clip against the majors' worst-hitting lineup, yet Chipper still passes on the price.
The model's fundamentals favor Anisimova over Tagger at the US Open, but a minus 392 moneyline pushes this one off the bet card.
The read on Mirra Andreeva over Eva Lys is one of the cleanest on the card, and the price still makes it a pass.
Chipper likes Reid Detmers to repeat his August gem, but the Angels moneyline still misses the cut as an official play.
Martin's rehab tune-up and Chicago's fresher bullpen make a real case, but the price alone keeps this one off the board.
