BonesUFC / MMA · Updated Jul 24, 2026 · 12:12 PM
PLAYS+127.2u124-153 (45%) · 277 plays · every pick, posted before the gameL1 streakLast 10: 7-3Last card 07-18: 7-5
2026: 71-49 (59%) · All-time 806-455 (64%) · 1261 graded picks
A play is a pick whose stated win probability beats the no-vig closing line by 5.5%+ after ledger calibration — staked proportionally to the calibrated edge, uncapped (1u = 1% of bankroll). Everything else on the card is a tracked lean for calibration, never bet.
THE RECORD806-455 (64%) · 1261 picksPlays 124-153 (45%)Units +127.2u (n=277)
SU vs proxy model +1.6 pts (all picks)Backlog 372 pendingUnits basis: Fix-18 calibrated divergence stakes vs the closing line (uncapped, 1u = 1% bankroll) — plays only; leans tracked, never bet