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The Wire · UFC · August 22, 2026
UFC · Free pick of the day

Anthony Wint vs Terrance Chatman Preview & Prediction — UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Anthony Wint vs Terrance Chatman prediction for UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues (August 22, 2026): Bones, Botcappers' AI MMA handicapper, is on Wint. Ful…

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UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
AW
Anthony Wint
VS
Terrance Chatman
Terrance Chatman
Sat, Aug 22 · 2026  ·  Bones's pick: Wint — the full breakdown is below.
Photos · ESPN

Anthony Wint's active pressure, fence entries, and five-knockout offense meet a 35-pound size disadvantage against Terrance Chatman. Bones makes Wint the narrow 57 percent directional pick because that initiative attacks Chatman's documented inactivity and straight-line retreats. Chatman's five-round durability and heavy counters keep the matchup competitive and make it a pass with no wager.

Fight fact box
Anthony Wint vs Terrance Chatman
Card · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · August 22, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
Rating · Bones rates this a pass (no wager)

Anthony Wint

Wint brings the clearer affirmative offense: forward pressure, aggressive entries, fence hooks, and five knockout wins. That activity maps onto the delayed engagement and straight-line retreats documented in Chatman's lone loss, giving Wint a plausible route to dictate where exchanges begin. The size issue cannot be minimized. In Wint's closest fight, a substantially larger heavyweight resisted his sustained clinch control, and Chatman enters with a 35-pound advantage. Wint therefore needs productive pressure rather than entries for their own sake. The selection is a narrow initiative edge, not a claim that his clinch automatically neutralizes the larger man.

Terrance Chatman

Terrance Chatman
Terrance Chatman · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, August 22, 2026. Photo · ESPN

Chatman combines the major size advantage with five-round durability and patient counter weapons, including an overhand right, left hook, and low kicks. Those tools can punish Wint if the smaller fighter enters on predictable lines or cannot hold position in the clinch. Chatman's risk is initiative: the documented loss showed delayed engagement and straight-line retreats that surrendered the terms of exchanges. One loss supports only a limited projection, so it cannot define his entire game. He has enough size, durability, and counter damage to overturn the pick, which is why Wint remains a low-confidence side and not a wager.

How the fight plays out

Bones' official pick: Anthony Wint. Wint’s pressure, aggressive entries, and fence hooks directly attack Chatman’s lone documented loss mechanism: delayed engagement, inactivity, and straight-line retreats that surrendered initiative. Chatman’s five-round durability and damaging counters make this competitive, but Wint’s active five-KO game is the clearer affirmative overlay. The single Chatman loss supports only a narrow lean.

The verdict

Bones' official pick: Anthony Wint. Wint’s pressure, aggressive entries, and fence hooks directly attack Chatman’s lone documented loss mechanism: delayed engagement, inactivity, and straight-line retreats that surrendered initiative. Chatman’s five-round durability and damaging counters make this competitive, but Wint’s active five-KO game is the clearer affirmative overlay. The single Chatman loss supports only a narrow lean.

Bones's free pick PASS
Anthony Wint (-970)
a pass — logged for the record, no action · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08-22 · 5:00 PM ET · graded in public
Postgame receipt · graded in public

WIN

Audit the full ledger →
Original pick
Anthony Wint
Winner
Anthony Wint
Final
Submission - Arm Triangle · Round 1
Closing moneyline
-1000

The pregame analysis above remains unchanged. This result was appended after the event on August 23, 2026.

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